The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will garner 32.1% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will win 67.9%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes contain large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Trump is currently at 68.8% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Idaho. Compared to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 0.9 percentage points higher.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 64.6% in Idaho. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 20.7 percentage points higher.