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Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

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The Jérôme & Jérôme model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump receiving 50% of the two-party vote. In comparison, on August 7 Trump was still predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they can contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 1.3 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 1.3 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 2.7 percentage points less and Trump has 2.7 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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