Results of a new poll carried out by EmersonEmerson were published. The poll asked interviewees from Connecticut for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
EmersonEmerson poll results
The poll was carried out from April 10 to April 11 with 1043 likely voters. The sampling error is +/-3.0 percentage points, which means that the poll results for the two candidates do not differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls can incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single polls, the best practice is to rely on combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
For the following comparison, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The corresponding figures are 45.5% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 45.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 45.6 percentage points. This margin is within the poll's error margin, which means that the poll is not an outlier. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 45.4% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Connecticut.