South Dakota: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 37.9% for Clinton and 62.1% for Trump in South Dakota.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they can incorporate substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, you should consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump currently runs at 59.5% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in South Dakota. This value is 2.6 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 2.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 59.3% in South Dakota. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 14.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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