DeSart model in Missouri: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 42.5% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will end up with 57.5%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may incorporate large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Missouri has Trump at 55.1% of the two-party vote. In comparison to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 2.5 percentage points worse.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 54.7% of the two-party vote in Missouri, which is 2.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 10.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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