DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 25.4% for Clinton and 74.6% for Trump in Wyoming. In comparison, on August 7 Trump was predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Results compared to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Wyoming sees Trump at 71.2% of the two-party vote. In comparison to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 3.4 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 70.8% of the two-party vote in Wyoming, which is 3.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 27.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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