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West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 33.2% for Clinton and 66.8% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in West Virginia sees Trump at 60.4% of the two-party vote. In comparison to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 6.4 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in West Virginia, which is 4.9 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 19.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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