Nebraska: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 35.9% for Clinton and 64.1% for Trump in Nebraska.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, one should use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Nebraska econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 61.3%. This value is 2.9 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 61.1% of the two-party vote in Nebraska, which is 3.0 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 16.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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