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DeSart model in Mississippi: Trump with clear lead


The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model's forecast is that Clinton will receive 41.4% of the two-party vote share in Mississippi, whereas Trump will win 58.6%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Mississippi sees Trump at 56.2% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.4 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Mississippi, which is 4.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 11.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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