DeSart model in Massachusetts: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model's forecast is that Clinton will receive 62.6% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, while Trump will end up with 37.4%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can contain substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Massachusetts sees Clinton at 62.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.5 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 63.6% in Massachusetts. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 9.8 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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