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DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Massachusetts

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The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 62.6% for Clinton and 37.4% for Trump in Massachusetts. In comparison, on August 7 Trump was still predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Massachusetts econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 62.1%. This value is 0.5 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 63.6% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts, which is 1.0 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 9.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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