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DeSart model: Clinton with clear lead in Maine

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The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 55.7% for Clinton and 44.3% for Trump in Maine.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, you should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of Maine econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 55.5%. Compared to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.2 percentage points worse.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Maine, which is 1.2 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 2.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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