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DeSart model in Maine: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model's forecast is that Clinton will obtain 55.7% of the two-party vote share in Maine, whereas Trump will end up with 44.3%. In comparison, on August 7, Clinton was predicted to collect only 44.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, don't put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Maine econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 55.5%. In comparison to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.2 percentage points lower.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 54.5% in Maine. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 3.0 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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