DeSart model in Connecticut: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will receive 56.6% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, while Trump will win 43.4%. In comparison, on August 7 Trump was still predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, don't be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Connecticut has Clinton at 55.0% of the two-party vote. This value is 1.6 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Connecticut, which is 2.0 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 3.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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