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DeSart model in Alaska: Trump with clear lead


The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will collect 39.9% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, while Trump will win 60.1%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they can include substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

Trump currently runs at 64.6% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Alaska. Compared to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 4.5 percentage points better.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 0.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 60.8% in Alaska. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 12.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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