The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will collect 39.9% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, while Trump will win 60.1%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they can include substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
Trump currently runs at 64.6% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Alaska. Compared to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 4.5 percentage points better.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 0.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 60.8% in Alaska. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 12.9 percentage points higher.