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Washington: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead


The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton will achieve 55.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, whereas Trump will win 44.6%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they can include substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Clinton can currently count on 54.1% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Washington. Relative to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.3 percentage points worse.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.1% of the two-party vote in Washington, which is 0.3 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 2.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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