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DeSart model: Clinton in Wyoming trails by a very clear margin


The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 25.4% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, whereas Trump will win 74.6%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they can incorporate large biases. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

Looking at an average of Wyoming econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 71.2%. Relative to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 3.4 percentage points lower.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 70.8% of the two-party vote in Wyoming, which is 3.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 27.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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