The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 30.0% for Clinton and 70.0% for Trump in Oklahoma. In comparison, on August 7, Clinton was predicted to win 70.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they often contain substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Trump currently runs at 63.4% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Oklahoma. This value is 6.6 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma, which is 7.3 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 22.7 percentage points higher.