The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will collect 56.6% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will end up with 43.4%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models can include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently runs at 55.0% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Connecticut. Relative to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.6 percentage points lower.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Connecticut, which is 2.0 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 3.8 percentage points higher.