Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionAJC released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Georgia were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionAJC poll results
The poll was conducted from August 1 to August 4. A total of 847 registered voters responded. There is a sampling error of +/-4.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not be too confident the results of an individual poll. Instead of relying on results from single polls, one should use combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
For the following comparison, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 47.6% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. In the latest Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionAJC poll on May 15 Clinton obtained 47.7%, while Trump obtained 52.3%.
Comparison to other polls
When compared to the average results of other polls Clinton performed worse with 51.4 percentage points, while Trump did better with 51.4 percentage points. This difference is within the poll's sampling error, which means that the poll is not an outlier. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.6% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Georgia.