PPP (D)PPP (D) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Arizona were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
PPP (D)PPP (D) poll results
The poll was conducted from June 22 to June 23. A total of 691 registered voters responded. Considering the poll's error margin of +/-3.7 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single poll. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we translate them into two-party vote shares. The resulting figures are 52.4% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. In the most recent PPP (D)PPP (D) poll on June 29 Clinton obtained only 47.6%, while Trump obtained 52.4%.
Comparison to other polls
In comparison to the average results of other polls Clinton performed better with 50.2 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 50.2 percentage points. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 54.1% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Arizona.