The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 33.2% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will win 66.8%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models can incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Trump is currently at 60.4% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in West Virginia. This value is 6.4 percentage points lower than his respective numbers in the DeSart model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in West Virginia, which is 4.9 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 18.8 percentage points higher.