Results of a new poll administered by PPP (D) were distributed. The poll asked participants from Georgia for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
PPP (D) poll results
Of those who responded, 40.0% said that they will vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 49.0% indicated that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from May 27 to May 30 among 724 registered voters. The sampling error is +/-3.6 percentage points, which means that the levels of voter support for the candidates of both parties differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be treated with caution, since they may incorporate substantial biases. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 44.9% for Clinton and 55.1% for Trump.
Results in comparison to other polls
Looking at an average of Georgia polls, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 52.6%. This value is 2.5 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the PPP (D) poll. This difference is within the poll's margin of error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 53.3% of the two-party vote in Georgia. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 1.8 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's sampling error.