Oklahoma: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton will achieve 43.2% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, whereas Trump will end up with 56.8%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they can contain substantial biases. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

If we look at an average of Oklahoma econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 63.4%. Relative to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 6.6 percentage points better.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 65.2% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma, which is 8.4 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 8.8 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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