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Minnesota: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 58.5% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, while Trump will end up with 41.5%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they may incorporate large biases. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently achieves 55.1% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Minnesota. This value is 3.5 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.8% in Minnesota. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 6.5 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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