Maine: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to this model, Clinton will achieve 55.7% of the two-party vote share in Maine, whereas Trump will win 44.3%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Maine sees Clinton at 55.5% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.2 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 54.5% in Maine. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 3.7 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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