On August 1, WSB-TV released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Georgia were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
WSB-TV poll results
According to the results, 44.0% of participants plan to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 46.0% plan to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from July 24 to July 24 with 500 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-4.4 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.
Putting the results in context
Single polls should be interpreted with caution, since they often include substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single polls, one should use combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
For the following comparison, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 48.9% for Clinton and 51.1% for Trump.
Results in comparison to other polls
An average of recent polls in Georgia has Trump at 52.6% of the two-party vote. Compared to his numbers in the WSB-TV poll Trump's poll average is 1.5 percentage points higher. This deviation is within the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 53.3% of the two-party vote in Georgia. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 2.2 points above his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's error margin.