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Jerome model: Trump with clear lead in Nebraska


The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will achieve 41.6% of the two-party vote share in Nebraska, while Trump will win 58.4%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, as they may contain substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump is currently at 61.3% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Nebraska. This value is 2.9 percentage points higher than his respective numbers in the Jerome model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 61.1% of the two-party vote in Nebraska, which is 2.7 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 10.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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