The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.5% for Clinton and 46.5% for Trump in Delaware.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models can incorporate large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton can currently count on 55.4% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Delaware. Relative to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.9 percentage points better.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.2% in Delaware. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 1.5 percentage points higher.