Jerome model in Wisconsin: Clinton with comfortable lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will receive 55.1% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, while Trump will end up with 44.9%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Wisconsin econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 53.1%. Relative to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.0 percentage points lower.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.2% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin, which is 1.9 percentage points below the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 3.1 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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