Hit enter after type your search item

Jerome model in Michigan: Clinton is in the lead

/
/
/
45 Views

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 55.1% for Clinton and 44.9% for Trump in Michigan.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often contain large biases. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Michigan has Clinton at 53.8% of the two-party vote. This value is 1.3 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.2% in Michigan. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 3.1 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar