Jerome model in Maine: Clinton with comfortable lead

The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 55.2% for Clinton and 44.8% for Trump in Maine.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, because they can contain large biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Maine econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 55.4%. This value is 0.2 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Maine, which is 0.7 percentage points below the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 3.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.