The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 55.2% for Clinton and 44.8% for Trump in Maine.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, because they can contain large biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of Maine econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 55.4%. This value is 0.2 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Maine, which is 0.7 percentage points below the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 3.2 percentage points higher.