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Jerome model: Clinton in Georgia trails by a small margin

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The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 47.6% for Clinton and 52.4% for Trump in Georgia.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Georgia sees Trump at 54.5% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.1 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 53.3% of the two-party vote in Georgia, which is 0.9 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 4.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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