The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 43.4% for Clinton and 56.6% for Trump in Georgia.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, since they often incorporate large biases. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Georgia sees Trump at 54.5% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.1 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.3% in Georgia. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 8.6 percentage points higher.