DeSart model: Trump trails by a very clear margin
The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 91.9% for Clinton and 8.1% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they often include large biases. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
Clinton is currently at 89.2% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. Relative to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.8 percentage points lower.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 90.3% of the two-party vote, which is 1.6 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 39.9 percentage points higher.