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DeSart model: Trump in Massachusetts trails by a very clear margin


The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 62.6% for Clinton and 37.4% for Trump in Massachusetts.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Massachusetts has Clinton at 62.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.5 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 63.6% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts, which is 1.0 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 10.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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