The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 56.6% for Clinton and 43.4% for Trump in Connecticut.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, since they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
If we look at an average of Connecticut econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 55.0%. Relative to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.6 percentage points worse.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 54.6% in Connecticut. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 4.6 percentage points higher.