DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 25.4% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, whereas Trump will win 74.6%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they often include substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Wyoming sees Trump at 71.2% of the two-party vote. This value is 3.4 percentage points lower than his respective numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 70.8% of the two-party vote in Wyoming, which is 3.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 26.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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