DeSart model in Washington: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 55.4% for Clinton and 44.6% for Trump in Washington.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Washington sees Clinton at 54.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 1.3 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.1% of the two-party vote in Washington, which is 0.3 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 3.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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