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DeSart model in Rhode Island: Clinton is in the lead


The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will receive 62.1% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, while Trump will win 37.9%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Rhode Island econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 61.9%. This value is 0.2 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 63.0% in Rhode Island. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 10.1 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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