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DeSart model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will receive 54.0% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, whereas Trump will win 46.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may contain large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Oregon sees Clinton at 54.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.1 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote in Oregon, which is 1.2 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 2.0 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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