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DeSart model in Missouri: Trump with clear lead


The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 42.5% for Clinton and 57.5% for Trump in Missouri.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often include substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to other econometric models

Trump currently achieves 55.1% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Missouri. Compared to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 2.5 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 2.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 54.7% in Missouri. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 9.5 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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