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DeSart model in Mississippi: Trump is in the lead


The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 41.4% of the two-party vote share in Mississippi, whereas Trump will win 58.6%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can incorporate substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Mississippi has Trump at 56.2% of the two-party vote. In comparison to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 2.4 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Mississippi, which is 4.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 10.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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