DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump with very clear lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often contain large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Kentucky econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 58.3%. In comparison to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 6.2 percentage points lower.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 59.9% of the two-party vote in Kentucky, which is 4.6 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 16.5 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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