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DeSart model in Delaware: Clinton with clear lead


The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 57.3% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will end up with 42.7%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they can include large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently runs at 55.4% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Delaware. Compared to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.9 percentage points lower.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Delaware, which is 2.1 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 5.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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