The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 39.9% for Clinton and 60.1% for Trump in Alaska.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models can incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of Alaska econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 64.6%. This value is 4.5 percentage points higher than his respective numbers in the DeSart model.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 0.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 60.8% in Alaska. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 12.1 percentage points higher.