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DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Vermont

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The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model's forecast is that Clinton will receive 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, whereas Trump will end up with 33.5%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they often contain substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Vermont has Clinton at 60.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 6.2 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 60.7% of the two-party vote in Vermont, which is 5.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 14.5 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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