The Electoral-cycle model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton will receive 48.6% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 51.4%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, you should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
Trump currently runs at 51.1% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. This value is 0.3 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the Electoral-cycle model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 48.0% of the two-party vote, which is 3.4 percentage points below the results of the Electoral-cycle model.