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Tossup between Trump and Clinton in latest Rasmussen poll


Results of a new national poll conducted by Rasmussen were announced on August 1. The poll asked participants for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Rasmussen poll results




Of those who answered the question, 43.0% said that they intend to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 42.0% revealed that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from July 26 to July 27 among 1000 participants. The sampling error is +/-3.0 percentage points, which means that the poll results for Clinton and Trump do not differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate substantial biases. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 50.6% for Clinton and 49.4% for Trump.

Results compared to other polls

Clinton currently runs at 51.6% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent polls. This value is 1.0 percentage point higher than her corresponding numbers in the Rasmussen poll. This margin is within the poll's sampling error, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 1.4 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's sampling error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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