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Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

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The Jérôme & Jérôme model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they can contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 48.9%. This value is 1.2 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.

The Jérôme & Jérôme model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote, which is 1.9 percentage points above the results of the Jérôme & Jérôme model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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